VROL NMKA cracking milestones |
Message boards : Number crunching : VROL NMKA cracking milestones
Author | Message |
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jaro2404 Send message Joined: 16 Sep 11 Posts: 49 Credit: 171,398 RAC: 0 |
Date: 12 December 2015 Workunits done: 113 880 000/227 760 000 (50%) The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,1449% Projected 100% completion: Start of November 2017. (690 days) Next milestone: 60% (projected: April 2016) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- NO DATA FOR 52,5%, 55%, 57,5%, 60% --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: 25 May 2016 Workunits done: 142 350 000/227 760 000 (62,5%) The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,2024% Projected 100% completion: Start of October 2017 (494 days) Next milestone: 65% (projected: End of June 2016) |
jaro2404 Send message Joined: 16 Sep 11 Posts: 49 Credit: 171,398 RAC: 0 |
Date: 2 July 2016 Workunits done: 148 044 000/227 760 000 (65%) The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,1894% Projected 100% completion: Mid-December 2017 (528 days) Next milestone: 67,5% (projected: Mid-August 2016) |
Redstone Send message Joined: 29 Jan 08 Posts: 8 Credit: 1,272,144 RAC: 0 |
Less than 1.5 years left. This last message is proving to be quite a tough cookie to crack. |
jaro2404 Send message Joined: 16 Sep 11 Posts: 49 Credit: 171,398 RAC: 0 |
Date: 12 August 2016 Workunits done: 153 738 000/227 760 000 (67,5%) The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,1858% Projected 100% completion: Start of February 2018 (538 days) Next milestone: 70% (projected: Mid-September 2016) |
jaro2404 Send message Joined: 16 Sep 11 Posts: 49 Credit: 171,398 RAC: 0 |
Date: 30 September 2016 Workunits done: 159 432 000/227 760 000 (70%) The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,2518% Projected 100% completion: Start of November 2017 (397 days) Next milestone: 72,5% (projected: Start of November 2016) |
jaro2404 Send message Joined: 16 Sep 11 Posts: 49 Credit: 171,398 RAC: 0 |
Date: 4 November 2016 Workunits done: 165 126 000/227 760 000 (72,5%) The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,2777% Projected 100% completion: End of October 2017 (360 days) Next milestone: 75% (projected: Start of December 2017) |
noderaser Send message Joined: 24 Dec 08 Posts: 88 Credit: 1,496,863 RAC: 0 |
I assume your prediction for 75% is for December 2016? It would be kind of weird to hit 75% after completion. Click Here to see My Detailed BOINC Stats |
jaro2404 Send message Joined: 16 Sep 11 Posts: 49 Credit: 171,398 RAC: 0 |
Yes, your're right :) |
jaro2404 Send message Joined: 16 Sep 11 Posts: 49 Credit: 171,398 RAC: 0 |
Date: 3 December 2016 Workunits done: 170 820 000/227 760 000 (75%) The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,3030% Projected 100% completion: End of September 2017 (330 days) Next milestone: 77,5% (projected: Start of January 2017) |
Bernard Send message Joined: 2 May 15 Posts: 10 Credit: 9,026,641 RAC: 0 |
Date: 2 January 2017 Workunits done: 176 711 775/227 760 000 (77,59%) The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,39962% Projected 100% completion: Begin of September 2017 (250 days) Next milestone: 80,0% (projected: Start of February 2017) |
Bernard Send message Joined: 2 May 15 Posts: 10 Credit: 9,026,641 RAC: 0 |
Date: 30 January 2017 Workunits done: 182 330 024/227 760 000 (80,05%) The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,41206% Projected 100% completion: End of September 2017 (243 days) Next milestone: 82,5% (projected: Start of March 2017) |
Bernard Send message Joined: 2 May 15 Posts: 10 Credit: 9,026,641 RAC: 0 |
Date: 28 February 2017 Workunits done: 187 363 312/227 760 000 (82,26%) The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,45746% Projected 100% completion: End of September 2017 (218 days) Next milestone: 85,0% (projected: Start of April 2017) |
danq Send message Joined: 16 Dec 07 Posts: 53 Credit: 12,788,122 RAC: 0 |
Date: 28 February 2017 Hey, you cheated, 218 days is October 4 :( I still think you will get more attention from other BOINC users if you updated the front page to say we are on the fifth message and the third was cracked in 2013, rather than the strategy you have of teasing people into getting the full story on the forums. Regardless someone gave me a dying Vista era computer a month ago which I put Xubuntu LTS on and will be working on only Enigma until the end :) -Dan Q danq.co |
jaro2404 Send message Joined: 16 Sep 11 Posts: 49 Credit: 171,398 RAC: 0 |
Don't know why Bernard took over my idea that I figured out and don't know how he's collecting the data, so I can't tell you more about it Danq. :D Yeah, you're right, the main page should be updated but there is one problem - propably only TJM has the rights to change this page. Because of that, the thing you called "teasing" (something more about it? :D) is actually the only way to get to familiarize with E@H. Good luck on the project, we're closing this message in few months and if TJM is not going to do something else, it's completed. |
Miguel Ángel Send message Joined: 8 Jan 17 Posts: 1 Credit: 16,818 RAC: 0 |
Agreed, this should be in the front page with whatever we are crunching because it's pretty difficult to keep motivated if you don't see the results. |
danq Send message Joined: 16 Dec 07 Posts: 53 Credit: 12,788,122 RAC: 0 |
Don't know why Bernard took over my idea that I figured out and don't know how he's collecting the data, so I can't tell you more about it Danq. :D I thought you had changed your username to Bernard and were the same person. Yeah, you're right, the main page should be updated but there is one problem - propably only TJM has the rights to change this page. Because you did this "milestones" thread, I thought you were another administrator with access to a script of some kind. You also said this here, which might have confused me and I thought you were deliberately "teasing" potential users: http://www.enigmaathome.net/forum_thread.php?id=341&postid=4062#4062 Good luck on the project, we're closing this message in few months and if TJM is not going to do something else, it's completed. Are you saying you are ending the project early? :( Also, how does TJM (or you) know when there's a "match"? -Dan Q danq.co |
jaro2404 Send message Joined: 16 Sep 11 Posts: 49 Credit: 171,398 RAC: 0 |
No no, I'm just collecting data from the "server status" page and I'm creating regression model from them, so that's how I know when we will hit certain percentage. I don't know what you treat as a "match", if you mean how we know that certain result is a solution, here is the automatic thread which shows the higly scored results (the scores are propably calculated from calculating how many abbreviations placed in the dictionary are in it, but I can't really confirm that) http://www.enigmaathome.net/forum_thread.php?id=348 - here is it All I wanted to say was that the regression shows that we will finish computing all of the possible combinations this October. We can finish it earlier, because the solution can be in the every next computed result. After that, we wait for the TJM if he will show up. And that's all. |
jaro2404 Send message Joined: 16 Sep 11 Posts: 49 Credit: 171,398 RAC: 0 |
No no, I'm just collecting data from the "server status" page and I'm creating regression model from them, so that's how I know when we will hit certain percentage. I don't know what you treat as a "match", if you mean how we know that certain result is a solution, here is the automatic thread which shows the higly scored results (the scores are propably calculated from calculating how many abbreviations placed in the dictionary are in it, but I can't really confirm that) http://www.enigmaathome.net/forum_thread.php?id=348 - here is it All I wanted to say was that the regression shows that we will finish computing all of the possible combinations this October. We can finish it earlier, because the solution can be in the every next computed result. After that, we wait for the TJM if he will show up. And that's all. |
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VROL NMKA cracking milestones